Semenova V.G, Ivanova A.E, Subgaida T.P, Evdokushina G.N. The age vector of risk factors for mortality of young Muscovites. City Healthсare. 2021;2(2):р. 15-25. doi:10.47619 ...

Текст статьи на сайте журнала URL: https://city-healthcare.com/index.php/magazine/article/view/78/94 (дата обращения 13.01.2022)

Abstract

European-like life expectancy levels in Moscow are attributable to the prevalence of older population and the manifold increase in the working-age population mortality, especially among young people. The goal of the study is to identify the age-specific risk factors for Moscow youth mortality. This analysis is based on the official Russian Statistics Service’ data on mortality in the age groups of 15–24 and 25–34 years between 2000 and 2019. As demonstrated, during the study period, the Moscow youth mortality rates decreased twofold between both age groups. Starting from 2017, the mortality rate of Moscow youth began to increase, mainly among the 15–24-year-olds. The age vector of the youth mortality structure indicates a change in risk factors associated with age: while adolescents die from external causes, i.e. specific risks directly leading to death, later on youth mortality is more often associated with long-term behavioral factors indirectly resulting in death (such as sexual conduct as a risk factor for HIV/AIDS mortality, alcohol as the main cause for deaths from digestive system diseases and mental disorders, drugs as a risk factor for deaths from cardiovascular diseases and mental disorders). It is important to take note of the wide age range of the population classified as “young”: while it might be justified in legal and social context, in the demographic context it blurs the differences in mortality among people of different ages. Moreover, the abnormally high level and contribution of mortality from inaccurately described conditions, which the Moscow youth suffered from in the 2000s, calls into question the official rates of mortality due to underlying causes, primarily injuries, poisonings, and circulatory diseases. At the same time, given the increase in the young people’s overall mortality in the recent years, the extremely high mortality rates from inaccurately described conditions make it difficult to identify health priorities for the Moscow youth and, therefore, do not allow determining the reserves for their effective decline