Lukyanets A.S. Migration Component of the dynamics of the Workingage Population in the Arctic Regions of the Russian Federation. Labor and social relations. 2026. Vol. 37. No. 5. P. 148-161. DOI: 10.20410 ...

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Abstract

The article examines the influence of migration processes on changes in the working-age population of the constituent entities of the Russian Federation that are fully or partly included in the Arctic Zone of the Russian Federation. The empirical basis includes data from Rosstat and its territorial offices, regional programmes and official materials on demographic development from 2016 to 2024. The comparison shows noticeable differences between the long-developed regions of the European North and resource-based autonomous areas. In Arkhangelsk Oblast, the Komi Republic, Murmansk Oblast and the Republic of Karelia, migration loss has for a long time remained one of the factors reducing the working-age population. In the Yamalo-Nenets, Nenets and Chukotka autonomous areas, migration dynamics are much more volatile and closely connected with regional labour demand and major investment projects. Changes in the statutory working-age boundaries from 2020 to 2024 are considered separately because they complicate direct comparison of indicators. The study shows that migration replenishment of the permanent population and labour supply through temporary and rotational mobility have different demographic consequences. Based on the analysis, Arctic regions are grouped according to the character of migration influence on their working-age population.